| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
3,814 |
0.603 |
$2,299.72 |
$-440.89 |
-16.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
4,037 |
0.385 |
$1,554.11 |
$827.52 |
+113.9% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
10,724 |
0.086 |
$916.90 |
$49.36 |
+5.7% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
1,100 |
0.365 |
$401.50 |
$-27.50 |
-6.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
500 |
0.705 |
$352.50 |
$2.50 |
+0.7% |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,930 |
0.046 |
$275.74 |
$-662.39 |
-70.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
Yes |
494 |
0.365 |
$180.30 |
$-12.87 |
-6.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
625 |
0.285 |
$178.11 |
$-208.99 |
-54.0% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
300 |
0.495 |
$148.50 |
$-73.50 |
-33.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,032 |
0.135 |
$139.29 |
$-98.02 |
-41.3% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
10,000 |
0.013 |
$135.00 |
$35.00 |
+35.0% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? |
Yes |
236 |
0.565 |
$133.32 |
$-46.04 |
-25.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.625 |
$125.00 |
$-49.00 |
-28.2% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,001 |
0.115 |
$115.11 |
$-215.37 |
-65.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
333 |
0.278 |
$92.28 |
$32.10 |
+53.3% |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? |
Yes |
1,352 |
0.060 |
$81.10 |
$-256.81 |
-76.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? |
No |
704 |
0.105 |
$73.87 |
$10.55 |
+16.7% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
745 |
0.070 |
$52.47 |
$-16.10 |
-23.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
131 |
0.365 |
$47.92 |
$-50.31 |
-51.2% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 31? |
Yes |
35 |
0.825 |
$28.88 |
$1.68 |
+6.2% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
1,302 |
0.020 |
$26.04 |
$-210.08 |
-89.0% |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
106 |
0.235 |
$24.95 |
$-25.95 |
-51.0% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
600 |
0.034 |
$20.40 |
$-125.60 |
-86.0% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
135 |
0.105 |
$14.18 |
$-70.67 |
-83.3% |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? |
No |
66 |
0.195 |
$12.81 |
$2.27 |
+21.6% |