| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,000 |
0.925 |
$4,625.00 |
$239.01 |
+5.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
3,751 |
0.977 |
$3,664.84 |
$134.09 |
+3.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
2,832 |
0.930 |
$2,634.78 |
$103.21 |
+4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
2,300 |
0.865 |
$1,989.49 |
$90.51 |
+4.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? |
Yes |
2,448 |
0.790 |
$1,934.30 |
$92.87 |
+5.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,830 |
0.981 |
$1,794.32 |
$57.21 |
+3.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
1,610 |
0.968 |
$1,557.67 |
$4.38 |
+0.3% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
1,708 |
0.860 |
$1,469.21 |
$311.46 |
+26.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,628 |
0.823 |
$1,339.23 |
$54.53 |
+4.2% |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? |
No |
1,582 |
0.845 |
$1,336.37 |
$-14.43 |
-1.1% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.855 |
$1,197.20 |
$128.39 |
+12.0% |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
1,984 |
0.515 |
$1,021.94 |
$11.33 |
+1.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.989 |
$988.50 |
$0.50 |
+0.1% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.820 |
$984.00 |
$60.51 |
+6.6% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
900 |
0.976 |
$878.39 |
$23.40 |
+2.7% |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
Yes |
1,408 |
0.603 |
$848.92 |
$-80.84 |
-8.7% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? |
No |
1,000 |
0.830 |
$830.00 |
$-7.06 |
-0.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
800 |
0.987 |
$789.20 |
$10.40 |
+1.3% |
| Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? |
Yes |
1,324 |
0.585 |
$774.56 |
$249.91 |
+47.6% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
2,910 |
0.259 |
$752.23 |
$-207.27 |
-21.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
706 |
0.940 |
$663.56 |
$51.46 |
+8.4% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
No |
680 |
0.895 |
$608.50 |
$26.45 |
+4.5% |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? |
Yes |
718 |
0.835 |
$599.89 |
$2.11 |
+0.4% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
623 |
0.940 |
$585.51 |
$56.16 |
+10.6% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
668 |
0.870 |
$581.24 |
$111.59 |
+23.8% |