| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
420 |
0.375 |
$157.50 |
$-23.10 |
-12.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
670 |
0.175 |
$117.24 |
$-14.18 |
-10.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31? |
Yes |
1,002 |
0.116 |
$116.27 |
$98.97 |
+572.1% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
No |
824 |
0.120 |
$98.91 |
$19.38 |
+24.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
210 |
0.443 |
$93.02 |
$-18.69 |
-16.7% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? |
No |
120 |
0.770 |
$92.40 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
2,050 |
0.043 |
$88.97 |
$38.80 |
+77.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
252 |
0.345 |
$86.76 |
$27.62 |
+46.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? |
No |
130 |
0.635 |
$82.54 |
$9.45 |
+12.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? |
No |
150 |
0.540 |
$81.00 |
$18.60 |
+29.8% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? |
No |
125 |
0.625 |
$78.12 |
$16.12 |
+26.0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
No |
320 |
0.203 |
$64.80 |
$-16.36 |
-20.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? |
Yes |
1,672 |
0.027 |
$45.15 |
$-74.52 |
-62.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
660 |
0.065 |
$42.90 |
$-1.90 |
-4.2% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.375 |
$41.25 |
$4.95 |
+13.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
460 |
0.085 |
$39.10 |
$-1.70 |
-4.2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
898 |
0.043 |
$38.16 |
$-5.75 |
-13.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
440 |
0.075 |
$33.00 |
$-4.20 |
-11.3% |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? |
Yes |
110 |
0.285 |
$31.43 |
$-7.09 |
-18.4% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,400 |
0.020 |
$28.00 |
$-3.19 |
-10.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? |
Yes |
204 |
0.135 |
$27.50 |
$3.06 |
+12.5% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.275 |
$27.50 |
$-3.50 |
-11.3% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
900 |
0.026 |
$23.40 |
$-4.20 |
-15.2% |
| Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.225 |
$22.50 |
$10.90 |
+94.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
600 |
0.033 |
$19.80 |
$-16.40 |
-45.3% |