PnL (30d)

−$186

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$91

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

28%

211W / 538L · 175 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

305W / 619L

Trades (30d)

924

across 102 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

−$2.16

avg win $75 · loss $43

Profit Factor

0.92

$2,247 won / $2,433 lost

Reward / Risk

1.72

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$622

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.2% 211W/538L	102	$15,338
🏛 Politics	28.4% 21W/53L	22	$2,195
🎬 Culture	28.4% 21W/53L	22	$2,195

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	3,500	0.790	$2,766.75	$1,016.75	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,500	0.209	$733.25	$-1,016.75	-58.1%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	10,000	0.002	$15.00	$-5.00	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	13	0.999	$13.05	$0.12	+1.0%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	22,454	0.001	$11.23	$-11.23	-50.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	10	0.945	$9.45	$0.95	+11.2%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5,363	0.002	$8.04	$2.68	+50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	4,899	0.002	$7.35	$-2.45	-25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,853	0.001	$1.93	$-17.34	-90.0%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	3,050	0.001	$1.52	$-1.52	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	336	0.004	$1.34	$-2.50	-65.0%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,539	0.001	$1.27	$-3.81	-75.0%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	488	0.003	$1.22	$-0.73	-37.5%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	888	0.001	$0.44	$-5.77	-92.9%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	112	0.003	$0.28	$0.06	+25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	550	0.001	$0.28	$-0.28	-50.0%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	148	0.002	$0.22	$-0.07	-25.0%