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Trader leaderboard/pavlocrpt

pavlocrpt

0xb8076edb7c0de95bb53b5cb6e2bffa5afd7f99cb
PnL (30d)
−$177
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$133
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
400W / 2,261L · 1,814 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
2,137W / 2,332L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
4,475
across 34 markets · ~132 per market
EV / position
−$9.81
avg win $45 · loss $37
Profit Factor
0.61
$271 won / $447 lost
Reward / Risk
1.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$154
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $150,984 · all-time $11,561,284

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 15.0% 400W/2,261L 34 $11,129
⚽ Sports 5 $128
💵 Economy 36.8% 7W/12L 4 $1,319
₿ Crypto 36.8% 7W/12L 3 $1,282
🤖 Tech 1 $37

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes 1,561 0.520 $811.71 $-327.28 -28.7%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes 500 0.530 $265.00 $30.00 +12.8%
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.170 $170.00 $-254.99 -60.0%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,500 0.095 $142.50 $-12.00 -7.8%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 45,000 0.003 $112.50 $-22.50 -16.7%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 25,000 0.004 $112.50 $12.50 +12.5%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10,000 0.011 $105.00 $-34.92 -25.0%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 30,000 0.004 $105.00 $15.00 +16.7%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 3,000 0.033 $99.00 $-45.00 -31.2%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 40,890 0.002 $61.33 $20.44 +50.0%
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 39,255 0.002 $58.88 $19.63 +50.0%
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 103 0.380 $39.05 $-21.75 -35.8%
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 500 0.070 $35.00 $-95.00 -73.1%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes 50 0.595 $29.75 $-3.25 -9.8%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 18,744 0.002 $28.12 $9.37 +50.0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes 421 0.028 $11.58 $-22.45 -66.0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 4,363 0.002 $8.73 $4.36 +100.0%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 681 0.002 $1.02 $0.34 +50.0%
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes 14 0.029 $0.40 $0.22 +119.2%