PnL (30d)

+$1,538

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$426

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

90%

5,969W / 695L · 1,110 open

Win Return (30d)

86%

6,649W / 1,125L

Trades (30d)

7,774

across 164 markets · ~47 per market

EV / position

+$13.49

avg win $86 · loss $1,094

Profit Factor

1.20

$9,199 won / $7,660 lost

Reward / Risk

0.08

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$518

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	86.6% 15,671W/2,419L	378	$34,608
🏛 Politics	93.1% 1,450W/107L	82	$4,275
🎬 Culture	93.1% 1,450W/107L	82	$4,275

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

51 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	20	0.475	$9.50	$7.50	+375.0%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	20	0.175	$3.50	$-6.50	-65.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	20	0.135	$2.70	$1.93	+251.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	20	0.095	$1.90	$1.13	+147.0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	20	0.085	$1.70	$0.93	+121.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	8	0.165	$1.37	$1.05	+329.0%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	1,020	0.001	$0.51	$-38.72	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	980	0.001	$0.49	$-37.20	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	820	0.001	$0.41	$-31.13	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	780	0.001	$0.39	$-77.61	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	780	0.001	$0.39	$-77.61	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	750	0.001	$0.38	$-74.62	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	740	0.001	$0.37	$-28.09	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	700	0.001	$0.35	$-26.57	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	640	0.001	$0.32	$-24.30	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	580	0.001	$0.29	$-22.02	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	50	0.005	$0.27	$-1.65	-85.7%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	520	0.001	$0.26	$-19.74	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	520	0.001	$0.26	$-19.74	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	420	0.001	$0.21	$-41.79	-99.5%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-15.18	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-15.18	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-15.18	-98.7%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	15	0.011	$0.16	$-0.41	-72.7%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-11.39	-98.7%