PnL (30d)

−$23

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$14

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

8W / 13L · 65 open

Win Return (30d)

10%

8W / 69L · 9 open

Trades (30d)

86

across 15 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$5.63

avg win $7 · loss $10

Profit Factor

0.23

$7 won / $29 lost

Reward / Risk

0.70

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	18.0% 83W/379L	52	$17,846
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/9L	7	$1,000

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

1 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	5	0.015	$0.08	$-1.05	-93.3%