| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
110 |
0.966 |
$106.26 |
$22.26 |
+26.5% |
| Will Trump post "Bitcoin," "Crypto," or "Cryptocurrency" on Truth Social this week? |
No |
82 |
0.935 |
$76.66 |
$5.02 |
+7.0% |
| Will Team Secret Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 |
U 1.5 |
101 |
0.660 |
$66.66 |
$3.03 |
+4.8% |
| Will Global Esports Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 |
U 2.5 |
99 |
0.500 |
$49.50 |
$-2.97 |
-5.7% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? |
Yes |
51 |
0.966 |
$49.27 |
$18.67 |
+61.0% |
| Will Leviatán Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2 |
O 3.5 |
101 |
0.445 |
$45.14 |
$-26.15 |
-36.7% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? |
No |
51 |
0.875 |
$44.62 |
$5.35 |
+13.6% |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie? |
No |
51 |
0.725 |
$36.97 |
$-0.67 |
-1.8% |
| Will Team Secret Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2 |
O 1.5 |
101 |
0.340 |
$34.34 |
$2.02 |
+6.2% |
| Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31? |
Yes |
34 |
0.915 |
$31.11 |
$5.73 |
+22.6% |
| Will Evil Geniuses Win More than 0.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Americas Stage 2 |
O 0.5 |
31 |
0.998 |
$31.04 |
$3.67 |
+13.4% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.996 |
$30.88 |
$1.98 |
+6.9% |
| Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August? |
No |
31 |
0.950 |
$29.43 |
$-0.29 |
-1.0% |
| Will Jalen Brunson be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? |
No |
31 |
0.925 |
$28.68 |
$1.08 |
+3.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.670 |
$27.14 |
$0.20 |
+0.8% |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? |
No |
30 |
0.894 |
$26.84 |
$-1.66 |
-5.8% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
No |
51 |
0.515 |
$26.27 |
$-4.33 |
-14.2% |
| Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 5+ times during his next YouTube video? |
Yes |
31 |
0.810 |
$25.11 |
$3.10 |
+14.1% |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? |
No |
30 |
0.835 |
$25.05 |
$-1.35 |
-5.1% |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week? |
Yes |
31 |
0.800 |
$24.80 |
$5.89 |
+31.1% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? |
Yes |
51 |
0.485 |
$24.73 |
$6.88 |
+38.6% |
| Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? |
No |
31 |
0.795 |
$24.64 |
$0.46 |
+1.9% |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
25 |
0.958 |
$24.31 |
$-0.34 |
-1.4% |
| Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino in August? |
Yes |
41 |
0.590 |
$24.19 |
$-4.50 |
-15.7% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? |
No |
30 |
0.790 |
$23.69 |
$4.20 |
+21.5% |