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Trader leaderboard/BSZm6Gqb

BSZm6Gqb

0xb76d2470c0427becb9fbb8161d70e9e05f20636b
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
1W / 0L
Trades (30d)
1
across 1 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.25
avg win $0
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5 · all-time $268,438

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $22
🌤 Weather 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 15 0.945 $14.18 $2.12 +17.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat? Yes 10 0.950 $9.50 $0.45 +5.0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 5? No 5 1.000 $5.00 $0.10 +2.0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 5 0.961 $4.80 $0.32 +7.1%
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No 5 0.915 $4.58 $0.38 +8.9%
AI bubble burst in 2026? No 5 0.852 $4.26 $0.41 +10.6%
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-08 House seat? Yes 5 0.795 $3.98 $-0.32 -7.6%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 28 0.135 $3.77 $1.67 +80.0%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? No 5 0.585 $2.92 $0.02 +0.9%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 10 0.209 $2.09 $-0.28 -11.6%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? Yes 55 0.037 $2.05 $-1.83 -47.1%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? Yes 4 0.415 $1.53 $0.31 +25.7%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 12 0.117 $1.40 $-0.83 -37.4%
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat? Yes 12 0.065 $0.78 $-0.30 -27.8%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%? Yes 17 0.016 $0.27 $0.08 +43.2%
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes 10 0.024 $0.23 $-0.17 -42.7%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-01 House seat? Yes 9 0.022 $0.19 $-0.67 -77.5%
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%? Yes 3 0.009 $0.03 $-0.01 -27.2%