PnL (30d)

−$1

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

5W / 1L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

62%

5W / 3L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

9

across 7 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$0.30

avg win $1 · loss $3

Profit Factor

0.64

$2 won / $3 lost

Reward / Risk

0.21

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.3% 5W/1L	7	$813
🏛 Politics	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$175
🤖 Tech	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$30
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$133

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	50	0.942	$47.08	$1.23	+2.7%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	40	0.994	$39.74	$-0.02	-0.1%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	25	0.996	$24.89	$0.06	+0.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	105	0.184	$19.37	$-7.04	-26.7%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	15	0.996	$14.93	$0.04	+0.3%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	20	0.117	$2.33	$-0.01	-0.4%
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	10	0.110	$1.10	$-0.80	-42.1%