| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
9,964 |
0.790 |
$7,876.85 |
$-90.20 |
-1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
3,630 |
0.865 |
$3,139.95 |
$90.53 |
+3.0% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
9,980 |
0.209 |
$2,090.81 |
$48.86 |
+2.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
1,634 |
0.835 |
$1,364.39 |
$82.86 |
+6.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
896 |
0.963 |
$862.85 |
$-2.18 |
-0.3% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
No |
894 |
0.962 |
$859.62 |
$16.09 |
+1.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
789 |
0.968 |
$763.36 |
$-6.71 |
-0.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
509 |
0.786 |
$400.33 |
$74.99 |
+23.0% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
331 |
0.935 |
$309.49 |
$8.27 |
+2.7% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
664 |
0.356 |
$236.72 |
$-31.54 |
-11.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
171 |
0.978 |
$166.71 |
$-0.09 |
-0.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
265 |
0.625 |
$165.62 |
$-35.48 |
-17.6% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
174 |
0.945 |
$164.43 |
$10.61 |
+6.9% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
142 |
0.990 |
$140.51 |
$2.90 |
+2.1% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? |
Yes |
144 |
0.940 |
$135.36 |
$4.44 |
+3.4% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
142 |
0.910 |
$129.22 |
$-0.58 |
-0.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
185 |
0.645 |
$119.33 |
$36.44 |
+44.0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
106 |
0.955 |
$101.23 |
$1.95 |
+2.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
107 |
0.895 |
$95.77 |
$34.81 |
+57.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
75 |
0.926 |
$69.49 |
$7.22 |
+11.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
400 |
0.165 |
$66.00 |
$-49.00 |
-42.6% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
61 |
0.949 |
$57.98 |
$2.13 |
+3.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
72 |
0.795 |
$57.26 |
$17.66 |
+44.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
56 |
1.000 |
$55.95 |
$14.81 |
+36.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
No |
59 |
0.875 |
$51.62 |
$3.23 |
+6.7% |