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Trader

0xb6cae2a3084f02f691ff4ecaf61783335b2048a9
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$776
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$69
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+12.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
70%
346W / 151L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
387W / 181L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
573
across 152 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$6.31
avg win $18 · loss $17
Profit Factor
2.10
$1,481 won / $705 lost
Reward / Risk
1.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$97
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $19,731 · all-time $527,353

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 70.7% 959W/397L 348 $37,927
💵 Economy 80.1% 197W/49L 63 $12,305
₿ Crypto 71.0% 93W/38L 48 $6,188
🤖 Tech 100.0% 4W/0L 8 $1,234

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at <$85 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? No 106 0.885 $94.03 $1.78 +1.9%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? No 67 0.880 $58.67 $2.00 +3.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $85-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? No 42 0.920 $38.33 $1.67 +4.5%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $95-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? No 25 0.905 $22.62 $1.29 +6.1%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $105-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? No 28 0.780 $21.56 $-1.38 -6.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $121? No 400 0.051 $20.36 $16.36 +409.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $122? No 300 0.056 $16.65 $13.65 +455.0%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $85? Yes 15 0.890 $13.69 $0.31 +2.3%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on August 5? Yes 12 0.830 $9.77 $3.06 +45.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 1,144 0.007 $8.01 $-13.11 -62.1%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 1,262 0.006 $7.57 $-12.87 -63.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $117? No 380 0.015 $5.70 $1.90 +50.0%
Will Meta (META) close above $560 on August 5? Yes 5 0.942 $4.71 $0.71 +17.8%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 750 0.006 $4.50 $-7.50 -62.5%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $119? No 77 0.041 $3.12 $2.35 +305.0%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $111 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 450 0.006 $2.70 $-1.80 -40.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $118? No 750 0.004 $2.62 $-4.88 -65.0%
Will Micron (MU) close at <$720 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? Yes 142 0.015 $2.13 $-12.69 -85.6%
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 300 0.006 $1.80 $-1.20 -40.0%
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of August 3 above $120? No 30 0.045 $1.36 $1.06 +355.0%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? No 2 0.690 $1.30 $0.41 +46.8%
Will SpaceX (SPCX) finish week of August 3 above $90? No 19 0.065 $1.24 $0.67 +116.6%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 on August 5? Yes 1 0.890 $1.01 $0.38 +58.9%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $470 on August 5? Yes 1 0.924 $0.94 $0.07 +7.5%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 3 0.195 $0.65 $0.02 +2.6%