shibagege
0xb6c83e346ab31df6e24bc53ecb6e15c03b75b9e6
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$146
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7,078
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
96%
26W / 1L · 144 open
Win Return (30d)
99%
170W / 1L
Trades (30d)
171
across 5 markets · ~34 per market
EV / position
+$72.77
avg win $2,619 · loss $2,473
Profit Factor
1.06
$2,619 won / $2,473 lost
Reward / Risk
1.06
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,138 · all-time $7,052,114
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
120,447 |
0.935 |
$112,617.90 |
$4,222.63 |
+3.9% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
88,251 |
0.978 |
$86,265.27 |
$2,921.63 |
+3.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
69,535 |
0.981 |
$68,179.30 |
$902.91 |
+1.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
52,000 |
0.925 |
$48,099.97 |
$2,860.00 |
+6.3% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? |
No |
10,000 |
0.967 |
$9,664.97 |
$100.02 |
+1.0% |