PnL (30d)

+$2

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+2.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

1W / 2L

Win Return (30d)

33%

1W / 2L

Trades (30d)

3

across 2 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.97

avg win $10 · loss $8

Profit Factor

1.24

$10 won / $8 lost

Reward / Risk

1.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	14.3% 7W/42L	24	$3,824
💵 Economy	33.3% 1W/2L	3	$102
₿ Crypto	33.3% 1W/2L	2	$97
🤖 Tech	—	1	$5
🏛 Politics	—	1	$66

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	1,586	0.910	$1,443.26	$103.02	+7.7%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	SpaceX	1,101	0.939	$1,033.96	$68.59	+7.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	632	0.825	$521.68	$5.38	+1.0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,596	0.117	$418.93	$-56.05	-11.8%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	2,860	0.135	$384.65	$148.65	+63.0%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	2,250	0.170	$382.52	$-182.12	-32.3%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	364	0.825	$299.97	$97.29	+48.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	10,039	0.025	$255.00	$-71.98	-22.0%
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	252	0.943	$237.63	$4.99	+2.1%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	420	0.405	$170.10	$-31.50	-15.6%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	No	900	0.185	$166.50	$-14.82	-8.2%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	540	0.275	$148.40	$-80.13	-35.1%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	420	0.345	$144.86	$44.06	+43.7%
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?	No	163	0.865	$141.38	$53.22	+60.4%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	425	0.209	$89.04	$7.00	+8.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	1,308	0.060	$78.48	$-21.96	-21.9%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	460	0.165	$75.90	$42.50	+127.2%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	5,000	0.013	$62.50	$-37.50	-37.5%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	No	111	0.400	$44.40	$15.54	+53.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	87	0.365	$31.71	$-19.27	-37.8%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	255	0.117	$29.74	$12.20	+69.6%
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	140	0.170	$23.73	$2.73	+13.0%
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	892	0.025	$21.85	$2.23	+11.4%
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	220	0.084	$18.33	$-14.82	-44.7%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	30	0.595	$17.74	$4.02	+29.3%