PnL (30d)

−$18

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1,569

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

29%

6W / 15L · 50 open

Win Return (30d)

49%

35W / 36L

Trades (30d)

71

across 15 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$3.00

avg win $17 · loss $23

Profit Factor

0.74

$51 won / $69 lost

Reward / Risk

0.74

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	28.6% 6W/15L	15	$4,428
🏛 Politics	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$383
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$383

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	2,050	0.785	$1,609.28	$1,058.66	+192.3%
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August?	Yes	10,270	0.030	$313.24	$-168.71	-35.0%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?	Yes	340	0.565	$191.98	$-5.13	-2.6%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?	Yes	4,266	0.025	$108.36	$10.36	+10.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9?	Yes	3,213	0.024	$75.50	$-35.34	-31.9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9?	Yes	2,000	0.014	$28.00	$-4.00	-12.5%