PnL (30d)

+$557

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1,113

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

60%

2,201W / 1,473L · 5,661 open

Win Return (30d)

65%

6,062W / 3,273L

Trades (30d)

9,335

across 43 markets · ~217 per market

EV / position

+$55.66

avg win $11,065 · loss $43,981

Profit Factor

1.01

$88,520 won / $87,963 lost

Reward / Risk

0.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$21

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	83.5% 26,616W/5,263L	1228	$1,126,243
⚽ Sports	80.8% 21W/5L	157	$4,583
🌤 Weather	88.8% 537W/68L	92	$943
🏛 Politics	81.8% 18W/4L	64	$33,918
🤖 Tech	100.0% 2W/0L	57	$12,197
🎬 Culture	85.7% 30W/5L	49	$6,571
💵 Economy	81.8% 18W/4L	36	$38,379
🔬 Science	—	7	$2,808

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	283,225	0.003	$708.06	$-991.29	-58.3%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	235,919	0.003	$589.80	$-806.13	-57.7%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	76,236	0.006	$495.53	$-100.02	-16.8%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	172,477	0.003	$431.19	$-774.59	-64.2%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	39,169	0.009	$372.11	$66.12	+21.6%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	243,144	0.002	$364.72	$-982.30	-72.9%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	138,564	0.003	$346.41	$-511.72	-59.6%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	76,684	0.004	$345.08	$-253.98	-42.4%
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	1,737	0.185	$321.32	$299.88	+1398.6%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	208,851	0.002	$313.28	$-866.94	-73.5%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	109,763	0.003	$274.41	$-493.93	-64.3%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	182,789	0.002	$274.18	$-822.55	-75.0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	57,849	0.004	$260.32	$-145.20	-35.8%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	16,541	0.015	$239.85	$110.63	+85.6%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	12,935	0.018	$226.37	$125.32	+124.0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	142,154	0.002	$213.23	$-663.29	-75.7%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	79,222	0.003	$198.06	$-347.71	-63.7%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	30,322	0.006	$197.09	$-39.78	-16.8%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	124,495	0.002	$186.74	$-554.88	-74.8%
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	117,108	0.002	$175.66	$-304.01	-63.4%
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	48,870	0.004	$171.04	$-210.73	-55.2%
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	938	0.175	$164.08	$141.75	+635.0%
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	702	0.225	$157.86	$149.20	+1722.6%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	60,956	0.003	$152.39	$-323.80	-68.0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	32,404	0.004	$145.82	$-107.32	-42.4%