| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
5 |
0.278 |
$1.39 |
$0.18 |
+15.1% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.215 |
$1.07 |
$0.17 |
+19.4% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
5 |
0.175 |
$0.88 |
$0.82 |
+1650.0% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.535 |
$0.87 |
$0.69 |
+386.3% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
60 |
0.006 |
$0.36 |
$-0.00 |
-1.3% |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.065 |
$0.33 |
$0.07 |
+30.0% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? |
Yes |
46 |
0.004 |
$0.18 |
$-0.28 |
-60.0% |
| Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election? |
Yes |
5 |
0.017 |
$0.09 |
$0.01 |
+21.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.006 |
$0.03 |
$-0.00 |
-7.1% |
| Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
Yes |
5 |
0.005 |
$0.03 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
5 |
0.001 |
$0.00 |
$-0.01 |
-82.7% |