PnL (30d)

+$32

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$28

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

74%

26W / 9L · 7 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

31W / 11L

Trades (30d)

42

across 13 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

+$3.58

avg win $15 · loss $6

Profit Factor

2.09

$62 won / $29 lost

Reward / Risk

2.62

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	59.0% 108W/75L	80	$4,776
💵 Economy	50.0% 2W/2L	13	$427
🏛 Politics	50.0% 3W/3L	8	$216
₿ Crypto	—	7	$251
🎬 Culture	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	260	0.910	$236.25	$36.25	+18.1%
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	160	0.882	$140.92	$20.03	+16.6%
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	250	0.405	$101.25	$1.25	+1.2%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	50	0.845	$42.25	$5.25	+14.2%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	101	0.385	$38.90	$-8.10	-17.2%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	47	0.390	$18.42	$-1.58	-7.9%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	17	0.690	$11.69	$1.69	+16.9%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	19	0.465	$8.77	$-1.23	-12.3%
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	368	0.018	$6.62	$-8.53	-56.3%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	10	0.595	$6.16	$0.16	+2.6%
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	6	0.375	$2.27	$0.27	+13.6%
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	15	0.135	$2.07	$-0.93	-31.1%