PnL (30d)

−$1,414

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$625

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-16.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

27%

25W / 66L · 68 open

Win Return (30d)

58%

93W / 66L

Trades (30d)

159

across 21 markets · ~8 per market

EV / position

−$117.86

avg win $88 · loss $406

Profit Factor

0.30

$618 won / $2,032 lost

Reward / Risk

0.22

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$2,014

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	27.5% 25W/66L	21	$13,868
⚽ Sports	—	1	$102
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$174
🎬 Culture	0.0% 0W/7L	1	$174

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	1,400	0.845	$1,183.00	$10.00	+0.9%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?	Yes	1,000	0.815	$814.90	$124.90	+18.1%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	No	500	0.895	$447.50	$28.50	+6.8%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	400	0.855	$342.00	$47.00	+15.9%