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Trader leaderboard/l5wrGYrLGv

l5wrGYrLGv

0xb5c4eb8dd83402b22466504039bde5760043cb3b
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$27
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$43
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
51%
105W / 101L · 80 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
132W / 150L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
286
across 27 markets · ~11 per market
EV / position
−$1.40
avg win $9 · loss $13
Profit Factor
0.77
$89 won / $115 lost
Reward / Risk
0.69
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,426 · all-time $96,808

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 60.3% 437W/288L 190 $17,196
🏛 Politics 17.6% 3W/14L 22 $932
💵 Economy 66.7% 2W/1L 12 $277
🎬 Culture 16.7% 1W/5L 6 $99
🤖 Tech 6 $122
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 6 $46
⚽ Sports 6 $1,085

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

69 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? No 147 0.955 $140.00 $1.21 +0.9%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 136 0.905 $123.16 $0.48 +0.4%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 98 0.855 $83.75 $1.62 +2.0%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? No 84 0.987 $82.91 $2.49 +3.1%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 359 0.213 $76.58 $-8.84 -10.4%
Iran leadership change by September 30? No 65 0.945 $61.71 $2.77 +4.7%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? No 57 0.976 $55.77 $1.08 +2.0%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 87 0.635 $54.94 $-6.67 -10.8%
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? No 51 0.982 $50.33 $-0.23 -0.5%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No 65 0.590 $38.39 $-0.19 -0.5%
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 33 0.945 $31.06 $5.65 +22.2%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes 108 0.285 $30.85 $-13.48 -30.4%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 31 0.910 $27.91 $0.21 +0.7%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 33 0.680 $22.73 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? No 22 0.991 $21.92 $0.06 +0.3%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Yes 24 0.805 $19.51 $0.08 +0.4%
Iran leadership change by August 31? No 18 0.977 $17.98 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No 26 0.635 $16.40 $0.34 +2.1%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 34 0.462 $15.83 $-4.70 -22.9%
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? No 15 0.983 $15.03 $0.08 +0.5%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 15 0.780 $11.96 $-0.92 -7.1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No 14 0.845 $11.60 $1.03 +9.7%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026? No 11 0.990 $11.06 $0.08 +0.8%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 41 0.255 $10.53 $-0.21 -1.9%
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 28 0.365 $10.09 $-0.14 -1.4%