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Trader leaderboard/chilly99

chilly99

0xb5836c39622aa685fcda6d0ef52b45c8802f939e
PnL (30d)
−$73
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$114
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
34W / 46L · 95 open
Win Return (30d)
48%
81W / 87L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
175
across 48 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$3.17
avg win $21 · loss $19
Profit Factor
0.72
$189 won / $262 lost
Reward / Risk
1.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$24
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,752 · all-time $87,148

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 42.5% 34W/46L 48 $2,238
🏛 Politics 100.0% 7W/0L 5 $168
⚽ Sports 4 $64
💵 Economy 1 $18
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 1 $62

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

14 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? Yes 30 0.710 $21.29 $8.70 +69.0%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 25 0.850 $21.23 $2.06 +10.8%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 40 0.495 $19.80 $2.20 +12.5%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 50 0.365 $18.25 $6.35 +53.4%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? Yes 100 0.165 $16.50 $3.50 +26.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 50 0.320 $16.00 $1.00 +6.7%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 50 0.305 $15.25 $4.25 +38.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 25 0.369 $9.24 $2.84 +44.3%
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? Yes 30 0.240 $7.20 $-3.60 -33.3%
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid? No 50 0.120 $6.02 $0.77 +14.8%
Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? No 40 0.115 $4.60 $-7.00 -60.3%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? Yes 30 0.075 $2.25 $-0.15 -6.2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? Yes 50 0.035 $1.77 $0.17 +10.6%
Will Rafael Leao join Chelsea? Yes 40 0.041 $1.64 $-16.36 -90.9%