brianweed
0xb56dd7559c4abda88a66d980bc200285228f0d39
PnL (30d)
+$10
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
112W / 67L · 108 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
176W / 107L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
287
across 77 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.20
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.82
$23 won / $13 lost
Reward / Risk
1.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $205 · all-time $30,076
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
11 |
0.625 |
$6.93 |
$0.42 |
+6.4% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
7 |
0.645 |
$4.51 |
$0.31 |
+7.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
6 |
0.455 |
$2.91 |
$0.20 |
+7.2% |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? |
Yes |
6 |
0.415 |
$2.49 |
$0.15 |
+6.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
9 |
0.261 |
$2.34 |
$0.22 |
+10.4% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
5 |
0.185 |
$0.94 |
$-0.13 |
-11.9% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
5 |
0.065 |
$0.33 |
$-0.09 |
-22.0% |
| Will Trump’s remarks not air? |
Yes |
13 |
0.024 |
$0.31 |
$0.15 |
+95.8% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
10 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$-0.14 |
-90.4% |