HappyAlpha
0xb556417c2c4d1fed4723cb164668f7505557e040
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-37.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 15L · 220 open
Win Return (30d)
17%
29W / 141L · 65 open
Trades (30d)
235
across 19 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$0.90
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,983 · all-time $1,892,459
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Frank Donovan be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
962 |
0.002 |
$1.44 |
$0.48 |
+50.0% |
| Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.001 |
$0.50 |
$-0.50 |
-50.0% |
| Will Rodri join Al-Hilal? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.001 |
$0.50 |
$-0.50 |
-50.0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? |
Yes |
5 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$0.00 |
+47.8% |