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Trader leaderboard/Montecarlaw

Montecarlaw

0xb524ffe87088b380b33059fa716fbdaf0f2c0808
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$4,775
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$349
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
441W / 159L · 301 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
611W / 289L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
901
across 102 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$56.18
avg win $196 · loss $262
Profit Factor
1.70
$11,586 won / $6,811 lost
Reward / Risk
0.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$32
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $91,136 · all-time $2,801,636

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 69.5% 632W/277L 155 $230,613
⚽ Sports 92.8% 141W/11L 29 $71,521
🏛 Politics 3 $254

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? Yes 2,342 0.875 $2,049.40 $11.71 +0.6%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 11,354 0.135 $1,532.79 $426.29 +38.5%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 75,884 0.009 $645.02 $35.89 +5.9%
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No 334 0.993 $331.89 $8.97 +2.8%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 10,000 0.020 $200.00 $-119.78 -37.5%
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 378 0.320 $121.08 $7.57 +6.7%
Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No 122 0.960 $116.72 $0.57 +0.5%
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 5,084 0.022 $114.39 $-9.91 -8.0%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 300 0.345 $103.47 $4.48 +4.5%
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 213 0.280 $59.53 $-22.88 -27.8%
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No 36 0.945 $34.45 $0.08 +0.2%
Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Doubles): Duncan/Whitehouse vs Basic/Dzumhur Basic/Dzumhur 58 0.500 $28.88 $2.99 +11.5%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 486 0.037 $18.24 $1.70 +10.3%
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid? Yes 677 0.018 $11.84 $-108.98 -90.2%
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No 10 0.966 $9.85 $-0.02 -0.2%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No 9 0.895 $8.05 $1.30 +19.3%