Desy-1725192185234
0xb4f2f0c858566fef705edf8efc1a5e9fba307862
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$478
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$10,308
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
5,149W / 3,241L · 1,817 open
Win Return (30d)
68%
6,960W / 3,241L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
10,207
across 18 markets · ~567 per market
EV / position
−$238.92
avg win $10 · loss $488
Profit Factor
0.02
$10 won / $488 lost
Reward / Risk
0.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,000 · all-time $302,106,811
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
13,000 |
0.925 |
$12,024.93 |
$195.00 |
+1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9,000 |
0.975 |
$8,770.49 |
$121.51 |
+1.4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
7,000 |
0.974 |
$6,814.50 |
$39.50 |
+0.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
5,000 |
0.945 |
$4,725.00 |
$25.00 |
+0.5% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.615 |
$3.08 |
$2.52 |
+459.1% |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
64 |
0.004 |
$0.29 |
$-0.58 |
-66.9% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$-0.11 |
-93.5% |
| Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? |
Yes |
5 |
0.002 |
$0.01 |
$-0.29 |
-97.4% |