| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
20,000 |
0.925 |
$18,500.00 |
$300.00 |
+1.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
15,000 |
0.935 |
$14,025.01 |
$225.02 |
+1.6% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
36,101 |
0.375 |
$13,537.80 |
$11,043.74 |
+442.8% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
No |
15,323 |
0.840 |
$12,871.44 |
$7,758.66 |
+151.8% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
No |
12,107 |
0.976 |
$11,810.07 |
$1,234.83 |
+11.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
10,000 |
0.835 |
$8,350.00 |
$-350.00 |
-4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
5,136 |
0.999 |
$5,128.60 |
$1,674.44 |
+48.5% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
8,625 |
0.470 |
$4,053.63 |
$480.96 |
+13.5% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
3,647 |
0.865 |
$3,154.72 |
$334.27 |
+11.9% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? |
No |
2,625 |
0.785 |
$2,060.96 |
$590.72 |
+40.2% |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? |
No |
2,086 |
0.740 |
$1,543.33 |
$185.09 |
+13.6% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
1,638 |
0.820 |
$1,343.10 |
$-6.09 |
-0.5% |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
881 |
0.825 |
$726.58 |
$1.71 |
+0.2% |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
No |
664 |
0.915 |
$607.11 |
$91.98 |
+17.9% |
| Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026? |
No |
448 |
0.949 |
$424.56 |
$191.08 |
+81.8% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
No |
366 |
0.880 |
$321.77 |
$29.34 |
+10.0% |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? |
No |
398 |
0.705 |
$280.37 |
$9.76 |
+3.6% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? |
No |
258 |
0.935 |
$240.80 |
$53.76 |
+28.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
81 |
0.999 |
$81.36 |
$28.40 |
+53.6% |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? |
No |
96 |
0.845 |
$81.11 |
$18.04 |
+28.6% |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? |
No |
200 |
0.345 |
$68.98 |
$-7.02 |
-9.2% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
55 |
0.910 |
$50.05 |
$28.05 |
+127.5% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
55 |
0.675 |
$37.00 |
$11.19 |
+43.3% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
147 |
0.095 |
$13.99 |
$-69.96 |
-83.3% |