billsoon
0xb4d2b5c75b176f364beefe9dffb605c8b161fa62
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$2,422
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-10.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
33W / 59L
Win Return (30d)
36%
33W / 59L
Trades (30d)
92
across 3 markets · ~31 per market
EV / position
−$807.33
avg win $359 · loss $3,141
Profit Factor
0.23
$719 won / $3,141 lost
Reward / Risk
0.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,924
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,000 · all-time $1,320,959
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
17,000 |
0.790 |
$13,438.50 |
$4,938.50 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
17,000 |
0.209 |
$3,561.50 |
$-4,938.50 |
-58.1% |