Trader
0xb4a0f0da1fa782bd5b8b4af9015cc899e119993d
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
6W / 2L
Win Return (30d)
75%
6W / 2L
Trades (30d)
8
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.17
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.42
$4 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.24
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $60 · all-time $60,333
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
43.2%
19W/25L
|
36 |
$210 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
100.0%
1W/0L
|
1 |
$5 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
2 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
7 |
0.895 |
$6.05 |
$1.05 |
+20.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$4.65 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |