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Trader leaderboard/PMMMR

PMMMR

0xb47e0ebd655e6b0190a26b2814a9a2282dc0c602
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$904
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-4.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
124W / 96L
Win Return (30d)
56%
124W / 96L
Trades (30d)
220
across 127 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$7.12
avg win $162 · loss $169
Profit Factor
0.92
$10,061 won / $10,966 lost
Reward / Risk
0.96
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,511
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $14,210 · all-time $3,213,616

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.1% 137W/121L 151 $24,771
⚽ Sports 52.9% 36W/32L 57 $9,673
🏛 Politics 2 $214
🎬 Culture 2 $214

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 6,000 0.091 $549.02 $94.31 +20.7%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No 1,000 0.485 $485.02 $86.29 +21.6%
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No 650 0.740 $481.00 $91.00 +23.3%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 800 0.445 $356.00 $-20.00 -5.3%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? Yes 960 0.280 $268.80 $121.40 +82.4%
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes 589 0.450 $265.25 $43.39 +19.6%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.245 $244.97 $-135.62 -35.6%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No 475 0.475 $225.62 $35.62 +18.8%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No 411 0.440 $180.84 $16.44 +10.0%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes 405 0.410 $165.88 $52.60 +46.4%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.125 $125.00 $-133.69 -51.7%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 295 0.400 $118.04 $36.90 +45.5%
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes 1,000 0.105 $104.95 $-87.46 -45.5%
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? No 40 0.475 $18.90 $-0.20 -1.0%
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week? Yes 15 0.405 $6.08 $3.98 +189.3%