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Trader leaderboard/Jumbajuz

Jumbajuz

0xb477b6a013980f8013cd5b488fd280c2c53f673e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$95
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$36
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
81%
78W / 18L · 27 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
102W / 21L
Trades (30d)
123
across 29 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$4.34
avg win $11 · loss $14
Profit Factor
2.11
$181 won / $86 lost
Reward / Risk
0.79
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$42
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,719 · all-time $106,068

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 75.4% 487W/159L 233 $53,975
🏛 Politics 43.8% 7W/9L 10 $1,955
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/10L 6 $736
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/5L 4 $486
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/7L 3 $349
⚽ Sports 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $15
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 1 $88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 211 0.975 $205.66 $3.16 +1.6%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 3 2026? No 221 0.910 $201.16 $-8.84 -4.2%
Will Donald Trump's tie be red? Yes 313 0.630 $197.46 $-12.54 -6.0%
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026? No 209 0.899 $187.68 $-14.82 -7.3%
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 238 0.780 $185.82 $-16.68 -8.2%
Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? Yes 256 0.715 $183.28 $-19.22 -9.5%
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee? Yes 302 0.605 $183.01 $-19.49 -9.6%
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? No 262 0.680 $178.09 $2.62 +1.5%
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? Yes 280 0.603 $168.77 $-33.73 -16.7%
Will Van Hilleary be the TN-06 Republican nominee? No 207 0.750 $155.08 $-10.34 -6.2%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 484 0.295 $142.74 $-157.26 -52.4%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of August 3 2026? No 241 0.555 $133.97 $-76.03 -36.2%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by at least 16%? No 187 0.635 $119.02 $-15.93 -11.8%
Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 15? Yes 269 0.415 $111.73 $-98.27 -46.8%
Will Michael Alfonso be the WI-07 Republican nominee? Yes 99 0.875 $86.42 $5.43 +6.7%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $138 Week of August 3 2026? No 104 0.730 $75.69 $-8.29 -9.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 70 0.940 $65.55 $5.58 +9.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 300 0.175 $52.50 $-148.49 -73.9%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 84 0.285 $24.04 $-30.57 -56.0%
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? Yes 82 0.285 $23.44 $-29.22 -55.5%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 45 0.140 $6.36 $-27.24 -81.1%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026? Yes 11 0.515 $5.87 $-1.42 -19.5%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 6 0.765 $4.59 $-0.27 -5.6%