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Trader leaderboard/vad1

vad1

0xb476d52d74d0ecd55fb80f9bc96e93a267ad6eac
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1,008
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
35%
89W / 166L · 10 open
Win Return (30d)
36%
96W / 168L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
265
across 28 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
−$45.82
avg win $414 · loss $218
Profit Factor
0.71
$2,483 won / $3,491 lost
Reward / Risk
1.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$350
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $91,446 · all-time $2,796,181

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.6% 1,566W/1,592L 773 $410,424
⚽ Sports 62.5% 507W/304L 217 $72,528
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 3 $1,060
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,210 0.539 $652.85 $355.33 +119.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,000 0.245 $245.00 $65.00 +36.1%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 938 0.255 $239.06 $-60.94 -20.3%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 227 0.830 $188.64 $138.64 +277.3%
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5 Under 369 0.475 $175.26 $1.85 +1.1%
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5 Under 194 0.900 $174.82 $-1.94 -1.1%
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: O/U 2.5 Under 334 0.485 $162.01 $5.01 +3.2%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes 250 0.606 $151.54 $-48.46 -24.2%
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 111 0.915 $101.67 $1.67 +1.7%
CA Tigre vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5 Under 118 0.745 $87.78 $-0.59 -0.7%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 5,556 0.009 $47.22 $-2.77 -5.5%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,752 0.011 $18.39 $-273.46 -93.7%
Will "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" be the song of the summer? Yes 339 0.034 $11.53 $-8.47 -42.4%
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer? Yes 403 0.027 $10.89 $-9.11 -45.6%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 4 0.895 $3.65 $1.65 +82.7%
Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer? Yes 270 0.010 $2.70 $-12.62 -82.4%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 1,000 0.002 $1.50 $-54.50 -97.3%
Will "Kingdom of Fear - Cameron Whitcomb" be the song of the summer? Yes 451 0.003 $1.35 $-18.13 -93.1%
Will "Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks" be the song of the summer? Yes 356 0.003 $0.89 $-19.11 -95.5%