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Trader leaderboard/hspje89

hspje89

0xb44bf19d4417dbf26199ad3f68ec8a2f0ef43fdb
PnL (30d)
−$7
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
59%
17W / 12L · 103 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
64W / 62L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
132
across 116 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.27
avg win $0 · loss $1
Profit Factor
0.41
$5 won / $12 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $47,125

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.6% 17W/12L 116 $379
💵 Economy 3 $9

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No 86 0.940 $80.53 $-3.47 -4.1%
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No 104 0.735 $76.14 $54.14 +246.1%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 62 0.785 $48.68 $27.68 +131.8%
China coup attempt before 2027? No 41 0.970 $40.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? No 25 0.971 $24.36 $0.36 +1.5%
Will Barack Obama be arrested before 2027? No 22 0.988 $21.84 $0.84 +4.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 25 0.745 $18.78 $3.78 +25.2%
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No 17 0.959 $16.66 $0.66 +4.1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 15 0.998 $15.32 $0.32 +2.1%
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No 15 0.940 $14.56 $1.56 +12.0%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? No 14 0.998 $14.18 $0.18 +1.3%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 15 0.915 $13.99 $0.99 +7.6%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No 14 0.970 $13.97 $-0.03 -0.2%
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No 15 0.920 $13.85 $-0.15 -1.1%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No 15 0.925 $13.51 $0.51 +3.9%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? No 13 0.992 $13.14 $0.14 +1.1%
Russia coup attempt in 2026? No 14 0.925 $13.07 $0.07 +0.5%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? No 14 0.885 $12.64 $-0.36 -2.7%
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? Yes 14 0.889 $12.30 $1.30 +11.9%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 16 0.750 $12.00 $-1.00 -7.7%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 12 0.915 $11.44 $1.44 +14.4%
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? No 13 0.875 $11.37 $1.37 +13.7%
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No 13 0.895 $11.35 $3.35 +41.9%
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No 11 0.997 $11.19 $0.19 +1.7%
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? No 11 0.964 $10.71 $0.71 +7.1%