DOJ
0xb43699cbbb52520952833c10737bc43e7625bb3c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,162
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+30.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
83%
15W / 3L
Win Return (30d)
83%
15W / 3L
Trades (30d)
18
across 5 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$232.31
avg win $433 · loss $69
Profit Factor
9.38
$1,300 won / $139 lost
Reward / Risk
6.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$130
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,152 · all-time $635,375
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
3,379 |
0.130 |
$439.33 |
$67.59 |
+18.2% |
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? |
Yes |
438 |
0.880 |
$385.40 |
$-6.60 |
-1.7% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? |
No |
421 |
0.375 |
$157.75 |
$-132.51 |
-45.7% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
No |
166 |
0.755 |
$125.12 |
$13.08 |
+11.7% |