PnL (30d)

−$50

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-4.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

76%

34W / 11L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

76%

34W / 11L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

47

across 17 markets · ~3 per market

EV / position

−$3.13

avg win $4 · loss $51

Profit Factor

0.51

$52 won / $102 lost

Reward / Risk

0.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$69

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	97.3% 1,025W/28L	376	$9,658
🌤 Weather	100.0% 231W/0L	80	$23
💵 Economy	30.8% 4W/9L	4	$796
₿ Crypto	10.0% 1W/9L	3	$488
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	1	$308

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

71 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	400	1.000	$399.80	$363.44	+999.5%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	400	1.000	$399.80	$363.44	+999.5%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	400	1.000	$399.80	$363.44	+999.5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	400	1.000	$399.80	$363.44	+999.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	400	1.000	$399.80	$363.44	+999.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.999	$399.60	$363.24	+998.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.999	$399.40	$363.04	+998.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.40	$-35.96	-98.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-199.80	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-199.80	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or below on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-199.80	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-199.80	-99.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on August 5?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-36.16	-99.4%