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Trader leaderboard/rando12345

rando12345

0xb401123e33dbbe1d575c4ee4f30c714a2819df2a
PnL (30d)
+$43
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1,252
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
48W / 8L · 102 open
Win Return (30d)
83%
126W / 26L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
158
across 39 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$3.28
avg win $21 · loss $96
Profit Factor
1.22
$235 won / $192 lost
Reward / Risk
0.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,987 · all-time $1,717,381

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.7% 48W/8L 39 $30,863
🏛 Politics 1 $3,540
₿ Crypto 1 $510

Open positions

44 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 40,000 0.816 $32,620.00 $12,620.00 +63.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 10,000 0.750 $7,500.01 $130.90 +1.8%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 40,000 0.184 $7,380.00 $-12,620.00 -63.1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 4,427 0.815 $3,607.50 $301.65 +9.1%
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No 3,020 0.870 $2,627.40 $131.40 +5.3%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31? No 2,520 0.988 $2,490.05 $105.77 +4.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? No 1,834 0.950 $1,742.02 $49.62 +2.9%
USDE depeg by December 31? No 1,316 0.945 $1,244.06 $145.15 +13.2%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No 1,160 0.920 $1,066.90 $142.35 +15.4%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.915 $915.00 $65.00 +7.6%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No 1,792 0.485 $868.96 $147.70 +20.5%
DAI depeg by December 31? No 615 0.945 $581.60 $186.52 +47.2%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? No 628 0.850 $533.70 $-11.55 -2.1%
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No 488 0.940 $458.41 $20.01 +4.6%
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? No 452 0.955 $431.60 $-2.26 -0.5%
GHO depeg by December 31? No 395 0.955 $377.04 $101.92 +37.0%
Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? No 329 0.910 $299.05 $11.08 +3.8%
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? No 380 0.755 $286.78 $5.70 +2.0%
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? No 279 0.980 $273.38 $29.33 +12.0%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes 302 0.865 $261.23 $-3.31 -1.3%
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes 335 0.670 $224.53 $25.06 +12.6%
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? Yes 239 0.926 $221.47 $4.20 +1.9%
Will Ethena reach $0.80 by December 31, 2026? No 225 0.958 $215.21 $-0.31 -0.1%
Will Ethena reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? No 222 0.935 $207.44 $22.98 +12.5%
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.980 $195.90 $3.90 +2.0%