PnL (30d)

−$10

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

69%

68W / 31L · 29 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

84W / 43L · 1 open

Trades (30d)

128

across 21 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$2.09

avg win $326 · loss $1,316

Profit Factor

0.99

$1,305 won / $1,316 lost

Reward / Risk

0.25

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1,316

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	87.2% 499W/73L	57	$58,138
🏛 Politics	68.7% 68W/31L	21	$5,563
💵 Economy	63.6% 68W/39L	6	$5,650
⚽ Sports	—	6	$90
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/8L	1	$161

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

57 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.044	$4.45	$3.67	+469.6%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.025	$2.54	$1.76	+225.1%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.025	$2.45	$1.67	+213.6%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.55	$0.77	+98.4%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.05	$0.27	+34.4%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.85	$0.07	+8.8%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.85	$0.07	+8.8%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.006	$0.65	$-0.13	-16.8%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.006	$0.65	$-0.13	-16.8%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.006	$0.65	$-0.13	-16.8%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.006	$0.65	$-0.13	-16.8%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.005	$0.55	$-0.23	-29.6%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.45	$-0.67	-59.9%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.45	$-0.33	-42.4%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.004	$0.35	$-0.77	-68.8%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-0.53	-68.0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-0.53	-68.0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-0.53	-68.0%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-0.87	-77.7%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-0.53	-68.0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.003	$0.25	$-0.53	-68.0%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	100	0.002	$0.15	$-0.63	-80.8%