| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
1,525 |
0.790 |
$1,204.54 |
$617.84 |
+105.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
1,200 |
0.830 |
$996.06 |
$42.36 |
+4.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
1,000 |
0.845 |
$845.00 |
$493.00 |
+140.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
720 |
0.935 |
$673.45 |
$144.95 |
+27.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
610 |
0.865 |
$527.44 |
$27.44 |
+5.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? |
No |
571 |
0.905 |
$516.43 |
$16.43 |
+3.3% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
588 |
0.853 |
$501.47 |
$1.47 |
+0.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
579 |
0.845 |
$489.01 |
$233.24 |
+91.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
No |
491 |
0.905 |
$444.40 |
$144.40 |
+48.1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? |
No |
465 |
0.847 |
$393.79 |
$-26.21 |
-6.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
393 |
0.855 |
$335.74 |
$13.74 |
+4.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
330 |
0.925 |
$304.94 |
$4.95 |
+1.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
308 |
0.978 |
$300.77 |
$0.77 |
+0.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
356 |
0.825 |
$293.62 |
$-6.38 |
-2.1% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? |
No |
421 |
0.635 |
$267.24 |
$90.45 |
+51.2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? |
No |
233 |
0.985 |
$229.19 |
$14.23 |
+6.6% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? |
No |
296 |
0.765 |
$226.37 |
$119.37 |
+111.6% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? |
No |
292 |
0.770 |
$225.19 |
$25.19 |
+12.6% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
244 |
0.895 |
$218.29 |
$18.29 |
+9.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
233 |
0.935 |
$217.44 |
$17.44 |
+8.7% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
No |
238 |
0.875 |
$207.81 |
$17.81 |
+9.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
290 |
0.695 |
$201.61 |
$-38.39 |
-16.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
205 |
0.915 |
$187.33 |
$61.30 |
+48.6% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? |
No |
277 |
0.675 |
$186.74 |
$-13.26 |
-6.6% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? |
No |
527 |
0.335 |
$176.41 |
$76.41 |
+76.4% |