| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,700 |
0.835 |
$2,254.45 |
$205.17 |
+10.0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
2,331 |
0.945 |
$2,202.80 |
$194.81 |
+9.7% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
2,500 |
0.875 |
$2,187.50 |
$70.25 |
+3.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
3,177 |
0.645 |
$2,049.16 |
$396.17 |
+24.0% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.635 |
$1,269.99 |
$-15.29 |
-1.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
1,609 |
0.785 |
$1,263.06 |
$490.75 |
+63.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
1,221 |
0.865 |
$1,056.02 |
$276.58 |
+35.5% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
No |
999 |
0.973 |
$971.53 |
$62.44 |
+6.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,101 |
0.823 |
$905.82 |
$153.64 |
+20.4% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? |
No |
888 |
0.925 |
$821.40 |
$4.44 |
+0.5% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
999 |
0.745 |
$743.76 |
$271.23 |
+57.4% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
999 |
0.643 |
$642.83 |
$-30.73 |
-4.6% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
777 |
0.745 |
$578.87 |
$-3.88 |
-0.7% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? |
Yes |
666 |
0.845 |
$562.77 |
$33.33 |
+6.3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
666 |
0.786 |
$523.81 |
$-1.67 |
-0.3% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
Yes |
1,221 |
0.315 |
$384.62 |
$-109.33 |
-22.1% |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? |
Yes |
444 |
0.765 |
$339.66 |
$104.34 |
+44.3% |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
No |
320 |
0.925 |
$296.00 |
$12.40 |
+4.4% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
No |
744 |
0.285 |
$211.97 |
$-347.77 |
-62.1% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? |
Yes |
329 |
0.615 |
$202.25 |
$3.22 |
+1.6% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
1,332 |
0.055 |
$73.26 |
$-354.15 |
-82.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
Yes |
666 |
0.095 |
$63.27 |
$-103.23 |
-62.0% |