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Trader leaderboard/20260601

20260601

0xb36cfbf83a716c55507a81ace255480b9ed31077
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$559
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$306
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
18W / 2L · 32 open
Win Return (30d)
90%
47W / 5L
Trades (30d)
52
across 8 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$186.32
avg win $406 · loss $254
Profit Factor
3.20
$813 won / $254 lost
Reward / Risk
1.60
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $58,887 · all-time $344,095

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 58.2% 177W/127L 52 $96,804
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/6L 8 $3,336
💵 Economy 5 $3,617
₿ Crypto 3 $3,411

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

15 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 15,078 0.535 $8,074.38 $-2,716.78 -25.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 7,934 0.315 $2,499.30 $-2,711.37 -52.0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 1,000 0.855 $855.00 $65.00 +8.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? No 1,100 0.455 $500.50 $-189.50 -27.5%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes 1,000 0.265 $265.00 $45.00 +20.5%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 1,200 0.115 $138.00 $-20.00 -12.7%
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? Yes 1,300 0.060 $78.00 $-129.00 -62.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 2,000 0.033 $65.00 $-32.00 -33.0%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes 168 0.365 $61.40 $2.26 +3.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? No 49 0.705 $34.78 $2.71 +8.5%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? Yes 1,265 0.019 $24.67 $-75.33 -75.3%
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.460 $23.00 $-8.00 -25.8%
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.440 $22.00 $-11.50 -34.3%
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.375 $18.75 $-12.25 -39.5%
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 50 0.335 $16.75 $-14.75 -46.8%