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Trader leaderboard/caviaro

caviaro

0xb36b96950b467e10fd4f5504fd659ec9961e7804
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$62
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
78%
2,254W / 638L · 173 open
Trades (30d)
3,065
across 20 markets · ~153 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,993 · all-time $27,629,580

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 85.3% 29W/5L 30 $1,737
🏛 Politics 9 $15

Open positions

29 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 837 0.360 $301.16 $-128.84 -30.0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 314,572 0.001 $157.29 $-157.29 -50.0%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 285,175 0.001 $142.59 $-142.59 -50.0%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 278,474 0.001 $139.24 $-139.24 -50.0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 239,405 0.001 $119.70 $-119.70 -50.0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 193,447 0.001 $96.72 $-96.72 -50.0%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 188,027 0.001 $94.01 $-94.01 -50.0%
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 62,404 0.002 $93.61 $31.20 +50.0%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 180,704 0.001 $90.35 $-90.35 -50.0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 149,866 0.001 $74.93 $-74.93 -50.0%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 140,001 0.001 $70.00 $-70.00 -50.0%
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 109,768 0.001 $54.88 $-54.88 -50.0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 87,735 0.001 $43.87 $-43.87 -50.0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 82,673 0.001 $41.34 $-41.34 -50.0%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 74,718 0.001 $37.36 $-37.36 -50.0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 467 0.075 $35.00 $-35.00 -50.0%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 49,016 0.001 $24.51 $-24.51 -50.0%
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 10,521 0.002 $21.04 $10.52 +100.0%
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 12,027 0.001 $6.01 $-6.01 -50.0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes 9,062 0.001 $4.53 $-4.53 -50.0%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 10 0.177 $1.77 $-7.22 -80.3%
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 662 0.003 $1.65 $0.99 +150.0%
Will Israel Adesanya be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 555 0.002 $0.83 $0.28 +50.0%
Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 137 0.003 $0.34 $0.21 +149.9%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 159 0.002 $0.24 $0.08 +49.9%