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Trader leaderboard/0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251

0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251

0xb2e42d29690b7b63335a03c0fd5e64df0681b7f1
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$276
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-16.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
41%
45W / 64L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
45W / 64L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
112
across 59 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$4.93
avg win $2 · loss $10
Profit Factor
0.13
$42 won / $318 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$8
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $45,418 · all-time $1,612,340

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.9% 11,808W/10,095L 6679 $294,132
🌤 Weather 48.7% 528W/556L 392 $7,266
⚽ Sports 37.9% 156W/256L 258 $3,789
🏛 Politics 30.1% 50W/116L 64 $8,175
🎬 Culture 28.6% 38W/95L 38 $2,151
💵 Economy 16.7% 7W/35L 19 $5,203
₿ Crypto 20.0% 3W/12L 11 $235
🤖 Tech 7.7% 2W/24L 7 $737

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

65 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 222 0.935 $207.70 $17.51 +9.2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 5? No 61 0.994 $60.48 $60.48 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on August 5? No 64 0.855 $54.38 $15.58 +40.2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on August 5? No 25 0.999 $24.67 $24.67 +0.0%
Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election? Yes 20 0.995 $19.89 $19.89 +0.0%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes 588 0.024 $13.81 $5.53 +66.9%
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 AL West title? No 16 0.805 $13.02 $0.23 +1.8%
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? No 26 0.415 $10.83 $10.83 +0.0%
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? No 13 0.770 $10.03 $10.03 +0.0%
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? Yes 9 0.931 $8.38 $5.38 +179.4%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? No 64 0.125 $7.95 $-42.31 -84.2%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? No 7 1.000 $7.01 $7.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5? No 7 1.000 $7.01 $7.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 5? No 7 1.000 $7.01 $7.01 +0.0%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 9 0.284 $2.65 $2.65 +0.0%
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 12 0.163 $2.01 $2.01 +0.0%
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No 3 0.660 $1.74 $1.74 +0.0%
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2026-08-01? No 2 0.920 $1.64 $-0.05 -2.9%
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 20 0.065 $1.27 $1.27 +0.0%
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes 38 0.025 $0.97 $0.97 +0.0%
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? Yes 10 0.088 $0.88 $0.88 +0.0%
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,697 0.001 $0.85 $-22.08 -96.3%
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,697 0.001 $0.85 $-22.08 -96.3%
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,697 0.001 $0.85 $-22.08 -96.3%
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 1,697 0.001 $0.85 $-22.08 -96.3%