| Kash Patel out by September 30? |
No |
421 |
0.940 |
$395.79 |
$-4.21 |
-1.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
No |
258 |
0.987 |
$254.58 |
$4.58 |
+1.8% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? |
No |
250 |
0.790 |
$197.45 |
$82.45 |
+71.7% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
123 |
0.815 |
$100.59 |
$-3.72 |
-3.6% |
| Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
111 |
0.905 |
$100.56 |
$0.56 |
+0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
172 |
0.545 |
$93.97 |
$-6.03 |
-6.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
116 |
0.665 |
$77.10 |
$-2.90 |
-3.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
145 |
0.485 |
$70.29 |
$-29.71 |
-29.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
172 |
0.405 |
$69.61 |
$14.61 |
+26.6% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
72 |
0.890 |
$63.67 |
$4.74 |
+8.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
112 |
0.495 |
$55.56 |
$0.56 |
+1.0% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? |
No |
53 |
0.945 |
$50.27 |
$0.27 |
+0.5% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
No |
65 |
0.765 |
$50.10 |
$0.10 |
+0.2% |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? |
No |
56 |
0.865 |
$48.77 |
$-1.23 |
-2.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? |
No |
54 |
0.830 |
$44.46 |
$14.46 |
+48.2% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
No |
107 |
0.335 |
$35.73 |
$-44.27 |
-55.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
64 |
0.555 |
$35.51 |
$0.22 |
+0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
91 |
0.355 |
$32.27 |
$3.18 |
+10.9% |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? |
No |
36 |
0.882 |
$31.82 |
$-3.18 |
-9.1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? |
No |
34 |
0.920 |
$31.72 |
$1.72 |
+5.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.310 |
$26.60 |
$-31.11 |
-53.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
No |
31 |
0.725 |
$22.66 |
$2.66 |
+13.3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
28 |
0.795 |
$21.94 |
$1.94 |
+9.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.962 |
$15.94 |
$1.36 |
+9.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
23 |
0.175 |
$4.00 |
$-9.25 |
-69.8% |