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Trader leaderboard/0xb2d5557DF3EBEB013Fba586883551f3A371eFf8B-1780027894670

0xb2d5557DF3EBEB013Fba586883551f3A371eFf8B-1780027894670

0xb2d5557df3ebeb013fba586883551f3a371eff8b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$7
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
4W / 2L · 35 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
14W / 26L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
41
across 39 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$1.11
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
4.10
$9 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
2.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $30 · all-time $19,230

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 61.5% 8W/5L 116 $397
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/1L 9 $24
⚽ Sports 2 $8
₿ Crypto 2 $6
💵 Economy 2 $6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

70 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 5 1.000 $4.99 $2.19 +78.5%
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No 10 0.410 $4.10 $-0.95 -18.8%
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 7 0.585 $4.05 $0.30 +7.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 6 0.685 $3.92 $-0.63 -13.8%
Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? No 5 0.757 $3.79 $-0.07 -1.9%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No 4 0.905 $3.71 $0.47 +14.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? No 5 0.735 $3.67 $0.07 +2.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No 5 0.725 $3.62 $-0.33 -8.2%
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? No 5 0.715 $3.58 $-0.27 -7.1%
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No 5 0.700 $3.50 $-0.50 -12.5%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 5 0.675 $3.38 $-0.27 -7.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat? No 5 0.670 $3.35 $-0.30 -8.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? No 5 0.665 $3.32 $0.02 +0.8%
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No 6 0.540 $3.24 $-0.71 -18.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No 5 0.645 $3.23 $-0.68 -17.3%
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 5 0.615 $3.08 $-0.52 -14.6%
Will Slaven Kovačević be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $-0.52 -14.8%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No 5 0.605 $3.02 $-0.23 -6.9%
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? No 5 0.605 $3.02 $-0.57 -16.0%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 4 0.805 $2.98 $0.24 +8.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? No 10 0.295 $2.95 $-3.45 -53.9%
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No 5 0.582 $2.91 $-0.55 -15.8%
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 5 0.555 $2.77 $-0.12 -4.3%
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No 5 0.535 $2.76 $-0.89 -24.4%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 5 0.545 $2.73 $-0.17 -6.0%