PnL (30d)

−$74

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$203

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-1.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

70%

69W / 29L · 42 open

Win Return (30d)

63%

86W / 50L · 4 open

Trades (30d)

140

across 22 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$4.62

avg win $96 · loss $226

Profit Factor

0.93

$1,055 won / $1,129 lost

Reward / Risk

0.42

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	70.4% 69W/29L	22	$9,983
🤖 Tech	—	4	$927

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	1,535	0.290	$445.29	$-197.17	-30.7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	441	0.835	$368.20	$4.21	+1.2%
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	400	0.685	$273.98	$28.00	+11.4%
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	359	0.750	$269.04	$18.44	+7.4%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	1,083	0.240	$259.89	$-56.91	-18.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	1,200	0.165	$198.00	$-510.00	-72.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	210	0.540	$113.50	$12.07	+11.9%
Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?	No	126	0.615	$77.50	$-32.57	-29.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	120	0.615	$73.80	$-4.20	-5.4%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026?	No	10	0.955	$9.45	$0.05	+0.5%