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Trader leaderboard/bluetens27

bluetens27

0xb2c5788e296a76cdbacd7ab737390939021b6593
PnL (30d)
−$115
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-44.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
3%
10W / 289L · 92 open
Win Return (30d)
20%
75W / 306L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
391
across 74 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$2.21
avg win $10 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.38
$71 won / $186 lost
Reward / Risk
2.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$16
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $192 · all-time $90,750

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 3.3% 10W/289L 74 $358
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/8L 11 $39

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes 1,415 0.065 $92.01 $-98.78 -51.8%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1,000 0.029 $29.50 $9.07 +44.4%
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No 58 0.345 $19.96 $-7.62 -27.6%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 92 0.184 $16.96 $-4.88 -22.4%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 105 0.117 $12.28 $-5.18 -29.7%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes 30 0.365 $10.95 $1.95 +21.7%
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? Yes 100 0.099 $9.85 $7.85 +392.5%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 133 0.044 $5.93 $2.03 +52.1%
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes 20 0.285 $5.80 $-0.39 -6.2%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF? Yes 55 0.098 $5.39 $5.23 +3166.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes 27 0.145 $3.91 $-0.69 -15.1%
Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? Yes 35 0.105 $3.67 $1.27 +53.1%
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes 29 0.125 $3.57 $-3.98 -52.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 47 0.075 $3.55 $-1.45 -29.1%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Maori? Yes 99 0.035 $3.43 $3.13 +1049.9%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 40 0.086 $3.42 $1.78 +108.5%
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.0 on August 7, 2026? Yes 19 0.165 $3.16 $2.78 +725.0%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + Labour? Yes 145 0.021 $3.10 $2.64 +574.8%
Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion? Yes 7 0.432 $3.03 $2.82 +1341.7%
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on August 7, 2026? Yes 20 0.150 $3.00 $1.80 +150.0%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? Yes 94 0.023 $2.17 $1.03 +90.5%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori? Yes 279 0.007 $2.10 $1.34 +176.3%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 18 0.085 $1.55 $-0.45 -22.7%
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? Yes 94 0.013 $1.17 $0.70 +149.8%
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? No 2 0.465 $1.06 $0.79 +290.4%