| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
246 |
0.385 |
$94.61 |
$-11.33 |
-10.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
36 |
0.845 |
$30.05 |
$1.97 |
+7.0% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
No |
15 |
0.968 |
$14.82 |
$0.59 |
+4.1% |
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.430 |
$13.53 |
$-1.09 |
-7.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.935 |
$7.74 |
$0.35 |
+4.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.885 |
$7.40 |
$0.04 |
+0.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.495 |
$7.35 |
$0.90 |
+14.0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
7 |
0.963 |
$7.11 |
$0.12 |
+1.8% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
10 |
0.710 |
$7.06 |
$1.39 |
+24.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
6 |
0.962 |
$5.92 |
$1.18 |
+24.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
8 |
0.700 |
$5.87 |
$0.01 |
+0.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.750 |
$5.46 |
$-0.32 |
-5.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
7 |
0.695 |
$5.08 |
$0.32 |
+6.6% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? |
Yes |
15 |
0.325 |
$4.74 |
$2.25 |
+90.5% |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.953 |
$4.01 |
$-0.01 |
-0.3% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
Anthropic |
4 |
0.895 |
$3.94 |
$-0.02 |
-0.4% |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
4 |
0.945 |
$3.86 |
$0.02 |
+0.5% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.825 |
$3.75 |
$0.03 |
+0.8% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.958 |
$2.92 |
$-0.06 |
-1.9% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.875 |
$2.78 |
$-0.02 |
-0.6% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? |
Yes |
5 |
0.535 |
$2.77 |
$-0.28 |
-9.3% |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.875 |
$2.73 |
$0.11 |
+4.2% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 |
Yes |
33 |
0.065 |
$2.15 |
$-11.21 |
-83.9% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2 |
0.915 |
$1.95 |
$0.03 |
+1.7% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? |
No |
4 |
0.465 |
$1.93 |
$-0.89 |
-31.6% |