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Trader leaderboard/vincent0189

vincent0189

0xb2a2d9524623a46f25fbe9e45250f4d1960f9f1e
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
no reliable basis
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
1W / 2L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
6W / 11L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
18
across 14 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.06
avg win $1 · loss $1
Profit Factor
1.20
$1 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
1.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1 · all-time $89,432

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 47.6% 109W/120L 148 $275
🏛 Politics 1 $1

Open positions

18 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 56 0.044 $2.47 $0.47 +23.6%
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No 3 0.785 $2.30 $0.29 +14.6%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 27 0.082 $2.16 $0.27 +14.5%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Yes 38 0.034 $1.29 $0.29 +28.8%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 2 0.675 $1.28 $0.27 +27.4%
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No 1 0.830 $1.11 $0.11 +10.7%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No 1 0.905 $1.10 $0.10 +10.4%
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? Yes 2 0.535 $1.02 $0.03 +2.9%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 2 0.390 $0.97 $-0.03 -2.5%
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? Yes 4 0.240 $0.89 $-0.11 -11.1%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes 4 0.185 $0.69 $-0.32 -31.5%
Will Alberta join the US? Yes 26 0.021 $0.53 $-0.47 -47.4%
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 83 0.006 $0.50 $-0.50 -50.0%
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes 23 0.022 $0.50 $-0.50 -50.0%
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? Yes 1 0.125 $0.16 $-0.84 -83.8%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 2 0.054 $0.14 $0.01 +6.5%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6 0.011 $0.06 $-0.03 -30.0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6 0.007 $0.04 $-0.03 -42.4%