PnL (30d)

−$617

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$86

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-15.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

33%

585W / 1,189L · 91 open

Win Return (30d)

33%

592W / 1,227L · 46 open

Trades (30d)

1,865

across 443 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

−$1.45

avg win $14 · loss $7

Profit Factor

0.73

$1,651 won / $2,268 lost

Reward / Risk

1.95

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$177

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	33.0% 585W/1,189L	443	$6,487
🌤 Weather	30.0% 65W/152L	76	$112
⚽ Sports	60.0% 12W/8L	9	$650
🏛 Politics	100.0% 18W/0L	5	$490
🎬 Culture	100.0% 18W/0L	5	$490
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$10
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$10

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	447	0.075	$33.56	$-2.24	-6.2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	Yes	1,000	0.018	$17.50	$-2.50	-12.5%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	2,134	0.002	$3.20	$-12.80	-80.0%