| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? |
Yes |
118 |
0.850 |
$100.35 |
$0.35 |
+0.3% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.895 |
$31.60 |
$1.60 |
+5.3% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
No |
23 |
0.945 |
$21.72 |
$1.72 |
+8.6% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? |
No |
23 |
0.895 |
$20.15 |
$0.15 |
+0.8% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
No |
18 |
0.905 |
$16.29 |
$1.89 |
+13.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.735 |
$15.25 |
$0.25 |
+1.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
22 |
0.655 |
$14.72 |
$-5.28 |
-26.4% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
17 |
0.865 |
$14.42 |
$-0.58 |
-3.9% |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? |
Yes |
32 |
0.420 |
$13.41 |
$-6.60 |
-33.0% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.905 |
$12.23 |
$2.23 |
+22.3% |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? |
No |
14 |
0.875 |
$11.88 |
$1.88 |
+18.8% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
No |
16 |
0.710 |
$11.45 |
$1.45 |
+14.5% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
15 |
0.690 |
$10.57 |
$0.57 |
+5.7% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? |
No |
20 |
0.500 |
$9.90 |
$-0.10 |
-1.0% |
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.965 |
$9.64 |
$2.14 |
+28.6% |
| OpenAI acquired before 2027? |
No |
10 |
0.960 |
$9.60 |
$2.10 |
+27.9% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
31 |
0.300 |
$9.38 |
$-0.62 |
-6.2% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.635 |
$8.74 |
$-1.26 |
-12.6% |
| Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
10 |
0.835 |
$8.35 |
$0.15 |
+1.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? |
No |
8 |
0.925 |
$7.61 |
$0.21 |
+2.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.970 |
$6.74 |
$1.74 |
+34.7% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
9 |
0.650 |
$6.15 |
$-1.36 |
-18.1% |
| Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? |
No |
10 |
0.600 |
$6.00 |
$0.20 |
+3.4% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
19 |
0.320 |
$5.93 |
$0.93 |
+18.5% |
| Revolut IPO before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.055 |
$5.52 |
$-4.48 |
-44.8% |