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.brain.

0xb1a1985278c50a25758e2e25a217d084706add34
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$173
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$198
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-22.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
4W / 4L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
55%
6W / 5L
Trades (30d)
11
across 7 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$43.29
avg win $28 · loss $115
Profit Factor
0.25
$56 won / $230 lost
Reward / Risk
0.25
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $44,949 · all-time $1,108,150

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 74.7% 878W/297L 305 $121,017
⚽ Sports 66.0% 35W/18L 20 $4,187
💵 Economy 42.9% 12W/16L 17 $15,210
🏛 Politics 100.0% 8W/0L 7 $10,211
₿ Crypto 99.0% 103W/1L 4 $4,613
🎬 Culture 100.0% 3W/0L 4 $529
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $50

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? Yes 2,548 0.509 $1,297.95 $383.23 +41.9%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? No 1,272 0.954 $1,213.35 $439.32 +56.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August? No 1,309 0.840 $1,099.52 $366.51 +50.0%
Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 1,068 0.961 $1,025.65 $70.35 +7.4%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? No 1,351 0.746 $1,007.23 $-13.54 -1.3%
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 1,156 0.855 $988.74 $224.36 +29.4%
Will Walt Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 986 1.000 $985.74 $109.78 +12.5%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% or more in July? No 1,000 0.930 $929.59 $133.94 +16.8%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? Yes 850 0.785 $667.25 $158.25 +31.1%
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? Yes 945 0.560 $529.10 $-9.45 -1.8%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July? Yes 2,549 0.199 $507.19 $-113.81 -18.3%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? Yes 1,264 0.355 $448.58 $-35.40 -7.3%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? No 500 0.885 $442.50 $42.50 +10.6%
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? No 535 0.735 $393.22 $2.67 +0.7%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? Yes 1,320 0.290 $382.74 $-2.91 -0.8%
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? No 728 0.510 $371.46 $-98.91 -21.0%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? No 371 0.965 $357.68 $49.79 +16.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? No 530 0.635 $336.55 $45.45 +15.6%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 400 0.835 $334.00 $26.00 +8.4%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? Yes 717 0.455 $326.32 $93.82 +40.4%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No 316 0.750 $237.00 $8.03 +3.5%
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 1,078 0.215 $231.76 $-378.23 -62.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? No 319 0.650 $207.58 $25.94 +14.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of August 3 2026? No 190 0.988 $187.72 $14.82 +8.6%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 200 0.855 $171.00 $15.00 +9.6%